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Game 02

Video Poker: the slot machine that tells you the truth.

It looks like a slot. It sits with the slots. It's nothing like a slot. The deal is a genuinely random 52-card deck, the paytable is printed on the glass, and from those two facts anyone with a calculator can work out exactly what the machine returns. The casino's only defence is that almost nobody bothers.

Gent's Grade
A−full pay · D if short-pay
House edge0.46% (9/6 JoB), >100% exists Decision leverageDecisive Pace & bleed400–800 hands/hr — fast Trap densityThe paytable itself Fun per dollarMedium, solitary

How it plays

Bet one to five coins (always five — see quirks). You're dealt five cards, you hold any you like, the rest are replaced once, and you're paid according to the final hand against a fixed paytable. No dealer, no opponent, no bluffing. Jacks or Better is the base game: a pair of jacks or higher gets your money back, two pair pays 2:1, and so on up to a royal flush at 800:1 (with five coins in). Variants change which hands pay what — Deuces Wild makes every 2 a wild card, Double Bonus pays big for four of a kind — and each variant has its own optimal strategy.

Because the deck is fair and the paytable is public, there's a mathematically perfect way to play every hand, and the return of the machine under that strategy is a known number. That's what "9/6" means: a Jacks or Better game paying 9 coins for a full house and 6 for a flush returns 99.54% with perfect play. Drop the flush to 5 (an "8/5" game) and the same machine returns 97.30%. Same screen, same sounds, five times the house edge.

The quirks

  • The paytable is the whole game. Two identical-looking machines side by side can differ by 3–5% in return. Nobody will tell you which is which. You read the full house / flush line and you know.
  • Always bet max coins. The royal flush pays 250 per coin for one to four coins and 800 per coin for five. That jump is worth about 1.5% of return. If five coins is too rich, drop the denomination, not the coin count.
  • Variance is high and lumpy. A big chunk of the return (about 2% on Jacks or Better) is the royal, which shows up once every 40,000 hands or so — roughly 80 hours of play. Between royals you're playing a ~97.5% game. Budget for that.
  • Strategy is learnable but not obvious. Holding a low pair over four to a flush, breaking a made flush for four to a royal: correct plays that feel wrong. Strategy cards exist and are legal to use at the machine.
  • Comps are real money here. Because the machines are fast and the edge is thin, the player's-club points and cash-back on video poker are often worth more than the house edge itself. This is where the advantage lives.

The house edge, paytable by paytable

Game / paytable (optimal play, 5 coins)ReturnHouse edge
Full-pay Deuces Wild100.76%−0.76% (player edge)
10/7 Double Bonus100.17%−0.17% (player edge)
Jacks or Better 9/699.54%0.46%
Double Double Bonus 9/698.98%1.02%
Jacks or Better 9/598.45%1.55%
Jacks or Better 8/597.30%2.70%
Jacks or Better 7/596.15%3.85%
Jacks or Better 6/595.00%5.00%
Any of the above, played by guesswork2–4% lower+2–4%
Best bets
  • A 9/6 Jacks or Better or better paytable, five coins, strategy card in hand. Under half a percent, with cash-back on top.
  • Full-pay Deuces Wild or 10/7 Double Bonus if you can find one — over 100% with perfect play, which is why you mostly can't.
Worst bets
  • Anything 7/5 or 6/5, which is what's on the bar tops and the airport. A slot with extra steps.
  • Fewer than five coins. You've volunteered to forfeit two-thirds of the royal.
  • Multi-hand at a denomination you haven't checked. Triple Play at $1 is $15 a spin, 600 spins an hour.
Feel the edge

Run a session before you sit down.

Pick a bet, a unit and a number of bets. The simulator plays 1,000 sessions from the bet's actual outcome table — not a normal approximation — and shows the spread, the drawdowns, and how long it takes before the house edge stops hiding behind luck. The same 500 hands on a 9/6 machine and an 8/5 machine, side by side, is the most persuasive argument on this page. Try both.

The simulator needs JavaScript. The house edge on every bet is in the table above; the simulator only shows what it feels like.
Advantage play
LEGALMOSTLY ACCEPTEDCOMPS CAN BE CUT

Full-pay machines, promotions and the progressive meter

How it works. Video poker advantage play is arithmetic, not sleight of hand. You find a paytable at or above 100% (rare now, but they exist off-Strip and in locals' rooms), play it perfectly, and layer the player's-club cash-back, multiplied-point promotions and mailer offers on top. A 99.54% game with 0.33% cash-back and a double-points day is a winning proposition. The second angle is progressive jackpots: a royal flush meter that has climbed high enough pushes an ordinary 8/5 machine over 100%, and pros sit on it until it hits. The third is strategy changes for the meter — as the royal grows you draw to it more aggressively, and the right adjustments are published.

Legality. Completely legal. You're using the machine exactly as designed and reading numbers the casino printed. Strategy cards at the machine are allowed everywhere.

Acceptance. The most tolerated form of advantage play in the building, because the edges are tiny and the players are reliable, high-volume customers. The pushback is quieter: the best paytables get removed, video poker earns fewer points than slots, and the players who visibly grind promotions can find their mailers stop arriving. Nobody gets trespassed for playing 9/6 Jacks correctly. For most people the realistic prize isn't a living, it's turning a ~2% hobby into a ~0% hobby with a free buffet.

The Gent's verdict. The best-value machine in any casino and the worst-value one are both video poker, and the difference is one number on the glass. Learn to read the paytable and this is close to a free game; don't, and it's the fastest way in the building to lose a lot of money slowly.
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